Is a Housing Crash Coming? Here’s the Real Truth About Where Home Prices Are Headed

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Let’s be real—if you’ve been reading the headlines lately, you’ve probably seen the doom-and-gloom predictions about a housing market crash. But before you start imagining 2008 all over again, it’s time to set the record straight. The truth is a lot less dramatic, and a lot more encouraging if you’re thinking about buying or selling.

Why the Headlines Are Misleading

Sure, in some neighborhoods, prices have cooled off a bit as more listings have hit the market. That’s a normal adjustment, not a meltdown. What matters more is the big picture—and the big picture is much healthier than you might think.

Over 100 leading housing experts recently shared their forecasts in Fannie Mae’s Home Price Expectations Survey. The verdict? Home prices are projected to keep climbing over the next 5 years. Not at the breakneck pace we saw during the frenzy, but at a steady, manageable rate that actually helps the market stay stable.

 

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What the Experts Really Predict

Let’s break this down:

✅ The average projection is about 3.3% growth per year through 2029.

✅ The optimists think it could be closer to 5% a year.

✅ Even the most conservative experts still expect around 1.3% growth annually.

So no, they don’t all agree on the exact number. But here’s what they do agree on: none of them are calling for a national crash.

 

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Why This Is Good News for You

You might be wondering, “Why does this matter to me?” Well, steady price growth means you don’t have to fear jumping into the market right now. Whether you’re buying your first home or moving up to your next one, a more balanced pace of appreciation means less risk and more predictability.

Some areas will see prices flatten out for a bit, especially where inventory is rising fast. Other markets will keep appreciating faster because there still aren’t enough homes for all the buyers out there. But overall, this healthier growth is way better for long-term stability—and for your peace of mind.

 
The Bottom Line: No Crash in Sight

If you’ve been holding off, waiting for prices to tank, you could be waiting a long time. The factors that would trigger a crash—like a wave of foreclosures or reckless lending—simply aren’t here. Homeowners today have record equity, foreclosures remain low, and lending standards are strong.

In short: the market isn’t collapsing. It’s normalizing.

 


 

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National trends are important, but your neighborhood is what really counts. Curious what all of this means for your zip code and your plans?

 

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